The Delta
TRACKER counts of announced cutsSURVEY job ads and employer surveysRESEARCH published studiesPROJECTION official forecastsLIVE fetched on load
How to read this
  • Tracker counts are announcements. Some cuts are phased over years, scaled back, or never happen.
  • "AI" as a reason is employer-stated. It can be overstated (to sound modern) or understated (to avoid backlash).
  • Trackers disagree on AI-linked totals. Compare trends within one source rather than numbers across sources.
  • Exposure is not job loss. Exposed work can be complemented by AI as well as replaced.
  • Industry and country tags on companies were assigned by us for filtering, not by the source.

Projection

Careers at risk and growing

Government statisticians project employment for hundreds of occupations ten years ahead. Their latest round explicitly factors in AI, which makes it one of the clearest official views of which careers are expected to grow and which to shrink.

  • Projections are central estimates, not promises: they are revised every year.
  • Growth is shown against the all-occupations average so you can see relative change.
  • These figures are for the US; other countries publish less detail.

Official US projections for 2024–34, including roles most exposed to AI.

AI summary

Projected employment change, 2024–34

Growth in teal, decline in red. Dashed line: all occupations +3.1%.

US onlyPROJECTION

In the news

Selected 28 Oct 2026

McKinsey Global Institute

McKinsey research shows AI creating more jobs than automation displaces — but 11 million American workers will need help this decade

Research commentary explores projected job growth alongside the need for workers to move out of shrinking occupations. These are scenarios, not observed outcomes.

King’s College London

AI adoption linked to increase in employment globally

A study links AI adoption with higher overall recruitment, while finding different outcomes for senior and junior workers.

Keep exploring

TrackerLayoffs →Announced job cuts, and how often employers now name AI as the reason.SurveyNew roles →Fast-growing job titles, demand for AI skills and the early-career squeeze.ResearchExposure →How much of each country's work AI could touch, and who is most exposed.

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A short note when the numbers move — new layoff waves, shifting careers, roles on the rise. No noise.